Mar 11, 2025
IndexBox has just published a new report: EU – Dried Milk – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.
The European Union powdered milk market is driven by increasing demand, with forecasts indicating a steady growth trajectory. Market performance is predicted to slow down slightly with a +0.4% CAGR in volume and +1.5% CAGR in value from 2024 to 2035, reaching significant milestones by the end of the forecast period.
Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for powdered milk in the European Union, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.4% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 1.4M tons by the end of 2035.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +1.5% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $5B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
Consumption
European Union’s Consumption of Powdered Milk
In 2024, the amount of powdered milk consumed in the European Union reached 1.3M tons, increasing by 3.9% on the previous year. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +3.3% from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded in certain years. Over the period under review, consumption attained the peak volume at 1.3M tons in 2016; afterwards, it flattened through to 2024.
The value of the powdered milk market in the European Union rose slightly to $4.2B in 2024, growing by 4.3% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The total consumption indicated perceptible growth from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, consumption decreased by -4.1% against 2022 indices. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $4.4B. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of the market remained at a lower figure.
Consumption By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were Germany (243K tons), France (164K tons) and Belgium (124K tons), together comprising 41% of total consumption. Italy, Poland, the Netherlands, Spain, Ireland, Denmark and Finland lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 45%.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the main consuming countries, was attained by Finland (with a CAGR of +18.3%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, Germany ($810M), France ($565M) and Italy ($412M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2024, together comprising 42% of the total market. Belgium, Poland, the Netherlands, Spain, Denmark, Ireland and Finland lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 44%.
Finland, with a CAGR of +17.8%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to market size in terms of the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
The countries with the highest levels of powdered milk per capita consumption in 2024 were Ireland (11 kg per person), Belgium (11 kg per person) and Denmark (9.1 kg per person).
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Finland (with a CAGR of +18.1%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Production
European Union’s Production of Powdered Milk
After two years of growth, production of powdered milk decreased by -3.8% to 2.1M tons in 2024. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.2% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of 22% against the previous year. The volume of production peaked at 2.3M tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2024, production failed to regain momentum. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a moderate expansion of the number of producing animals and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.
In value terms, powdered milk production stood at $7.4B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.7% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 21% against the previous year. The level of production peaked at $7.7B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, production failed to regain momentum.
Production By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were Germany (453K tons), France (391K tons) and Ireland (226K tons), together comprising 51% of total production. Belgium, Poland, the Netherlands, Denmark, Finland, Sweden and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 40%.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Spain (with a CAGR of +11.7%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Imports
European Union’s Imports of Powdered Milk
In 2024, supplies from abroad of powdered milk decreased by -11.9% to 924K tons, falling for the second consecutive year after two years of growth. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.8% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2019 with an increase of 9.3% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at 1.1M tons in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, imports failed to regain momentum.
In value terms, powdered milk imports contracted to $3B in 2024. Overall, imports, however, saw modest growth. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2022 with an increase of 30%. As a result, imports attained the peak of $3.7B. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.
Imports By Country
The countries with the highest levels of powdered milk imports in 2024 were the Netherlands (187K tons), Belgium (158K tons), Italy (111K tons), Germany (110K tons), Spain (80K tons), Poland (75K tons) and France (56K tons), together finishing at 84% of total import. The following importers – Bulgaria (15K tons) and Austria (15K tons) – each finished at a 3.3% share of total imports.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by Poland (with a CAGR of +7.0%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest powdered milk importing markets in the European Union were the Netherlands ($509M), Belgium ($496M) and Italy ($395M), together comprising 47% of total imports. Germany, Poland, Spain, France, Austria and Bulgaria lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 40%.
Poland, with a CAGR of +7.7%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Imports By Type
In 2024, skim powdered milk (667K tons) represented the major type of powdered milk, making up 72% of total imports. It was distantly followed by powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (221K tons), committing a 24% share of total imports. Powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (37K tons) held a relatively small share of total imports.
Skim powdered milk was also the fastest-growing in terms of imports, with a CAGR of +2.7% from 2013 to 2024. At the same time, powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (+1.1%) displayed positive paces of growth. By contrast, powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (-5.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of skim powdered milk (+6.8 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total imports from 2013-2024, the share of powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (-1.7 p.p.) and powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (-5.1 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.
In value terms, skim powdered milk ($1.8B), powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% ($953M) and powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% ($171M) constituted the products with the highest levels of imports in 2024.
Among the main imported products, powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5%, with a CAGR of +1.4%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other products experienced more modest paces of growth.
Import Prices By Type
The import price in the European Union stood at $3,209 per ton in 2024, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. Overall, the import price continues to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2022 an increase of 23%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $3,563 per ton. From 2023 to 2024, the import prices remained at a lower figure.
Prices varied noticeably by the product type; the product with the highest price was powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% ($4,685 per ton), while the price for skim powdered milk ($2,763 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (+6.0%), while the other products experienced mixed trends in the import price figures.
Import Prices By Country
The import price in the European Union stood at $3,209 per ton in 2024, remaining relatively unchanged against the previous year. In general, the import price saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 when the import price increased by 23%. As a result, import price reached the peak level of $3,563 per ton. From 2023 to 2024, the import prices remained at a somewhat lower figure.
Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major importing countries. In 2024, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in France ($3,888 per ton) and Austria ($3,661 per ton), while the Netherlands ($2,723 per ton) and Bulgaria ($2,768 per ton) were amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Bulgaria (+1.0%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports
European Union’s Exports of Powdered Milk
In 2024, approx. 1.7M tons of powdered milk were exported in the European Union; reducing by -13.1% compared with 2023. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 with an increase of 18%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at 2.1M tons in 2019; however, from 2020 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, powdered milk exports shrank to $5.8B in 2024. In general, exports saw a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 when exports increased by 23% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $7.5B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports failed to regain momentum.
Exports By Country
In 2024, Germany (319K tons), France (282K tons), Belgium (250K tons), the Netherlands (248K tons), Ireland (182K tons) and Poland (142K tons) was the main exporter of powdered milk in the European Union, comprising 84% of total export. It was distantly followed by Sweden (77K tons), achieving a 4.5% share of total exports.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Ireland (with a CAGR of +7.9%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, Germany ($1.1B), the Netherlands ($999M) and France ($966M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of exports in 2024, with a combined 53% share of total exports. Belgium, Ireland, Poland and Sweden lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 34%.
Ireland, with a CAGR of +6.0%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, in terms of the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports By Type
In 2024, skim powdered milk (1.3M tons) was the key type of powdered milk, generating 74% of total exports. It was distantly followed by powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (408K tons), comprising a 24% share of total exports. Powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (30K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.
Skim powdered milk was also the fastest-growing in terms of exports, with a CAGR of +3.0% from 2013 to 2024. Powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% experienced a relatively flat trend pattern. powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (-2.6%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of skim powdered milk (+13 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2013-2024, the share of powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (-12.8 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics. The shares of the other products remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.
In value terms, skim powdered milk ($3.8B) remains the largest type of powdered milk supplied in the European Union, comprising 65% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% ($1.9B), with a 32% share of total exports.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the value of skim powdered milk exports was relatively modest. For the other products, the average annual rates were as follows: powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (-2.7% per year) and powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (+0.1% per year).
Export Prices By Type
In 2024, the export price in the European Union amounted to $3,395 per ton, stabilizing at the previous year. In general, the export price saw a mild reduction. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 an increase of 25% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $4,134 per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, the export prices remained at a lower figure.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exported products. In 2024, the product with the highest price was powdered sweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% ($5,024 per ton), while the average price for exports of skim powdered milk ($2,974 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by powdered unsweetened milk and cream of fat weight content over 1.5% (-0.1%), while the other products experienced a decline in the export price figures.
Export Prices By Country
The export price in the European Union stood at $3,395 per ton in 2024, flattening at the previous year. Overall, the export price saw a slight contraction. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when the export price increased by 25%. Over the period under review, the export prices attained the maximum at $4,134 per ton in 2013; however, from 2014 to 2024, the export prices remained at a lower figure.
Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, major exporting countries recorded the following prices: in the Netherlands ($4,025 per ton) and France ($3,426 per ton), while Belgium ($2,895 per ton) and Poland ($3,040 per ton) were amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Germany (-1.5%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.
