Apr 4, 2025
IndexBox has just published a new report: EU – Butter And Dairy Spreads – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.
The European Union market for butter and dairy spreads is projected to grow steadily in both volume and value terms over the next decade. With an anticipated increase in consumption and demand, the market is expected to reach 2.1M tons and $14.8B by the end of 2035, representing a CAGR of +0.3% and +2.0% respectively.
Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for butter and dairy spreads in the European Union, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to retain its current trend pattern, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.3% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 2.1M tons by the end of 2035.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +2.0% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $14.8B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
Consumption
European Union’s Consumption of Butter And Dairy Spreads
In 2024, butter and dairy spreads consumption in the European Union shrank to 2M tons, remaining stable against the year before. Over the period under review, consumption, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. Over the period under review, consumption reached the peak volume at 2.1M tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2024, consumption remained at a lower figure.
The revenue of the butter and dairy spreads market in the European Union amounted to $11.9B in 2024, picking up by 2.9% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +2.1% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The level of consumption peaked at $12.8B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, consumption failed to regain momentum.
Consumption By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were France (512K tons), Germany (440K tons) and Poland (203K tons), together accounting for 57% of total consumption. Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Spain, Belgium, Ireland and the Czech Republic lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 29%.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Belgium (with a CAGR of +7.7%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, France ($3.4B), Germany ($2.5B) and Poland ($1.1B) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2024, together comprising 58% of the total market. Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Belgium, Spain, Ireland and the Czech Republic lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 28%.
Among the main consuming countries, Belgium, with a CAGR of +9.7%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to market size over the period under review, while market for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
The countries with the highest levels of butter and dairy spreads per capita consumption in 2024 were Denmark (20 kg per person), Ireland (12 kg per person) and France (7.5 kg per person).
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the key consuming countries, was attained by Belgium (with a CAGR of +7.2%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Production
European Union’s Production of Butter And Dairy Spreads
In 2024, production of butter and dairy spreads in the European Union amounted to 2.3M tons, standing approx. at the previous year. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.4% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with only minor fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2016 with an increase of 6.7%. Over the period under review, production reached the maximum volume at 2.4M tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure. The general positive trend in terms output was largely conditioned by a modest increase of the number of producing animals and a relatively flat trend pattern in yield figures.
In value terms, butter and dairy spreads production totaled $13.7B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +2.8% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 with an increase of 27%. Over the period under review, production attained the peak level at $14.3B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, production remained at a lower figure.
Production By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were Germany (460K tons), France (412K tons) and Ireland (301K tons), with a combined 51% share of total production. Poland, the Netherlands, Denmark and Belgium lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 32%.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of production, amongst the key producing countries, was attained by Belgium (with a CAGR of +10.4%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Imports
European Union’s Imports of Butter And Dairy Spreads
In 2024, butter and dairy spreads imports in the European Union contracted markedly to 709K tons, shrinking by -17.5% against the year before. In general, imports, however, saw modest growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2014 with an increase of 7.8% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the peak figure at 899K tons in 2021; however, from 2022 to 2024, imports remained at a lower figure.
In value terms, butter and dairy spreads imports declined slightly to $4.7B in 2024. Total imports indicated a perceptible increase from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +4.1% over the last eleven years. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, imports decreased by -10.0% against 2022 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 with an increase of 54% against the previous year. Over the period under review, imports reached the maximum at $5.3B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, imports stood at a somewhat lower figure.
Imports By Country
In 2024, France (193K tons), distantly followed by the Netherlands (128K tons), Germany (97K tons), Belgium (61K tons), Italy (36K tons) and Spain (33K tons) represented the key importers of butter and dairy spreads, together constituting 77% of total imports. The Czech Republic (26K tons), Romania (17K tons), Austria (14K tons) and Poland (12K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Romania (with a CAGR of +9.6%), while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, France ($1.4B), the Netherlands ($712M) and Germany ($652M) were the countries with the highest levels of imports in 2024, with a combined 57% share of total imports. Belgium, Italy, Spain, the Czech Republic, Romania, Austria and Poland lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 29%.
Romania, with a CAGR of +13.3%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of imports, in terms of the main importing countries over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Imports By Type
Butter dominates imports structure, recording 693K tons, which was approx. 98% of total imports in 2024. Dairy spreads (16K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.
Butter was also the fastest-growing in terms of imports, with a CAGR of +1.1% from 2013 to 2024. dairy spreads (-3.5%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. The shares of the largest types remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period.
In value terms, butter ($4.6B) constitutes the largest type of butter and dairy spreads imported in the European Union, comprising 98% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was held by dairy spreads ($91M), with a 1.9% share of total imports.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the value of butter imports totaled +4.2%.
Import Prices By Type
In 2024, the import price in the European Union amounted to $6,669 per ton, surging by 18% against the previous year. Import price indicated a pronounced expansion from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, butter and dairy spreads import price increased by +66.1% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when the import price increased by 52% against the previous year. The level of import peaked in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in years to come.
Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major imported products. In 2024, the product with the highest price was butter ($6,691 per ton), while the price for dairy spreads stood at $5,718 per ton.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by dairy spread (+3.2%).
Import Prices By Country
In 2024, the import price in the European Union amounted to $6,669 per ton, rising by 18% against the previous year. Import price indicated a measured increase from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.1% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, butter and dairy spreads import price increased by +66.1% against 2020 indices. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 an increase of 52%. The level of import peaked in 2024 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.
Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major importing countries. In 2024, major importing countries recorded the following prices: in Poland ($7,227 per ton) and Austria ($7,225 per ton), while the Netherlands ($5,571 per ton) and Romania ($6,651 per ton) were amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by France (+3.5%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports
European Union’s Exports of Butter And Dairy Spreads
In 2024, approx. 996K tons of butter and dairy spreads were exported in the European Union; with a decrease of -11.1% against the previous year’s figure. The total export volume increased at an average annual rate of +2.4% over the period from 2013 to 2024; however, the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2015 with an increase of 11%. Over the period under review, the exports reached the maximum at 1.1M tons in 2023, and then reduced in the following year.
In value terms, butter and dairy spreads exports amounted to $7.3B in 2024. Over the period under review, exports, however, showed buoyant growth. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2017 when exports increased by 47%. The level of export peaked in 2024 and is likely to continue growth in years to come.
Exports By Country
The Netherlands (245K tons) and Ireland (244K tons) represented roughly 49% of total exports in 2024. It was distantly followed by Germany (117K tons), Belgium (98K tons), France (93K tons), Denmark (59K tons) and Poland (52K tons), together constituting a 42% share of total exports.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of shipments, amongst the key exporting countries, was attained by Poland (with a CAGR of +4.9%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest butter and dairy spreads supplying countries in the European Union were Ireland ($1.8B), the Netherlands ($1.7B) and Germany ($832M), together comprising 59% of total exports. France, Belgium, Denmark and Poland lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 32%.
Poland, with a CAGR of +8.8%, recorded the highest growth rate of the value of exports, among the main exporting countries over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports By Type
Butter dominates exports structure, amounting to 977K tons, which was approx. 98% of total exports in 2024. Dairy spreads (19K tons) took a relatively small share of total exports.
Butter was also the fastest-growing in terms of exports, with a CAGR of +2.6% from 2013 to 2024. dairy spreads (-4.3%) illustrated a downward trend over the same period. While the share of butter (+2.1 p.p.) increased significantly in terms of the total exports from 2013-2024, the share of dairy spreads (-2.1 p.p.) displayed negative dynamics.
In value terms, butter ($7.1B) remains the largest type of butter and dairy spreads supplied in the European Union, comprising 98% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by dairy spreads ($143M), with a 2% share of total exports.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual rate of growth in terms of the value of butter exports totaled +6.2%.
Export Prices By Type
The export price in the European Union stood at $7,321 per ton in 2024, increasing by 20% against the previous year. Export price indicated a moderate increase from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, butter and dairy spreads export price increased by +72.3% against 2020 indices. The growth pace was the most rapid in 2017 when the export price increased by 49%. The level of export peaked in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.
Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exported products. In 2024, the product with the highest price was dairy spreads ($7,532 per ton), while the average price for exports of butter stood at $7,317 per ton.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by dairy spread (+4.0%).
Export Prices By Country
The export price in the European Union stood at $7,321 per ton in 2024, rising by 20% against the previous year. Export price indicated a perceptible expansion from 2013 to 2024: its price increased at an average annual rate of +3.5% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, butter and dairy spreads export price increased by +72.3% against 2020 indices. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2017 an increase of 49% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export prices reached the maximum in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in the near future.
Average prices varied noticeably amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, major exporting countries recorded the following prices: in France ($8,207 per ton) and Denmark ($7,498 per ton), while the Netherlands ($6,844 per ton) and Germany ($7,095 per ton) were amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by Ireland (+4.3%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
