According to the Department of Consumer Affairs data, the all-India average wholesale price of wheat rose by 1.3 per cent from April 1 to June 26 (the day when stock limits were imposed). Since then, the hike has been a moderate 0.36 per cent.
Private traders, however, say there hasn’t been much moderation and prices have even moved up in some centers. They attribute it largely to the short supplies of wheat in the market and some big traders still holding on to the wheat stocks.
They argue that unless the Food Corporation of India (FCI) starts liquidating some of the inventories, there won’t be any big moderation.
Wheat with traders, wholesalers, and big chain retailers has to be brought down to its prescribed limits within 30 days starting from June 26.
Traders say price moderation has been sharper in pulses compared to wheat because the summer season is usually a lean demand period for pulses as consumption of fried foods goes down.
It is also because imports of pulses are open at nil duty, and importers have been barred from holding on to the imported consignment of pulses beyond 45 days. This is also forcing them to quickly offload the pulse stocks into the market, they said.
This would lead to significantly higher closing stocks of 9.1 million tonnes as of September 2024 for the 2023-24 season. The normative closing stock at the end of any season should not be more than 5.5 million tonnes. This means that around 3.6 million tonnes of sugar will be in excess which needs to be shipped out to protect millers from potential extra costs from idle inventory and its carrying.