Apr 7, 2025
IndexBox has just published a new report: EU – Dried Milk – Market Analysis, Forecast, Size, Trends and Insights.
The European Union is expected to see an increase in consumption of powdered, evaporated, and condensed milk over the next decade, with market performance forecasted to grow at a CAGR of +0.7% in volume and +1.5% in value from 2024 to 2035. This growth is attributed to the rising demand for these dairy products in the region.
Market Forecast
Driven by increasing demand for powdered, evaporated and condensed milk in the European Union, the market is expected to continue an upward consumption trend over the next decade. Market performance is forecast to decelerate, expanding with an anticipated CAGR of +0.7% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market volume to 3.5M tons by the end of 2035.
In value terms, the market is forecast to increase with an anticipated CAGR of +1.5% for the period from 2024 to 2035, which is projected to bring the market value to $8.9B (in nominal wholesale prices) by the end of 2035.
Consumption
European Union’s Consumption of Powdered, Evaporated And Condensed Milk
In 2024, consumption of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk in the European Union totaled 3.2M tons, increasing by 3.5% against the previous year. The total consumption volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.6% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. Over the period under review, consumption attained the maximum volume in 2024 and is expected to retain growth in the immediate term.
The revenue of the market for powdered, evaporated and condensed milk in the European Union reached $7.5B in 2024, surging by 3.7% against the previous year. This figure reflects the total revenues of producers and importers (excluding logistics costs, retail marketing costs, and retailers’ margins, which will be included in the final consumer price). The market value increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. As a result, consumption reached the peak level of $8B. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of the market remained at a somewhat lower figure.
Consumption By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were Germany (783K tons), the Netherlands (713K tons) and Poland (198K tons), with a combined 52% share of total consumption. Greece, Belgium, France, Spain and Ireland lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 28%.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of consumption, amongst the leading consuming countries, was attained by Ireland (with a CAGR of +13.2%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, Germany ($1.6B), the Netherlands ($1.4B) and France ($596M) appeared to be the countries with the highest levels of market value in 2024, together comprising 48% of the total market. Belgium, Poland, Spain, Ireland and Greece lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 30%.
Ireland, with a CAGR of +11.7%, recorded the highest rates of growth with regard to market size among the main consuming countries over the period under review, while market for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
The countries with the highest levels of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk per capita consumption in 2024 were the Netherlands (41 kg per person), Ireland (32 kg per person) and Greece (19 kg per person).
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Ireland (with a CAGR of +12.2%), while consumption for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Consumption By Type
The products with the highest volumes of consumption in 2024 were evaporated and condensed milk (2M tons) and powdered milk (1.3M tons).
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for powdered milk (with a CAGR of +3.0%).
In value terms, powdered milk ($4.2B) and evaporated and condensed milk ($3.3B) appeared to be the products with the highest levels of market value in 2024.
Powdered milk, with a CAGR of +2.4%, recorded the highest growth rate of market size among the main consumed products over the period under review.
Production
European Union’s Production of Powdered, Evaporated And Condensed Milk
In 2024, after two years of growth, there was decline in production of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk, when its volume decreased by -2% to 4.2M tons. The total output volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.2% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained consistent, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations being observed throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 15% against the previous year. Over the period under review, production attained the peak volume at 4.5M tons in 2020; however, from 2021 to 2024, production stood at a somewhat lower figure.
In value terms, powdered, evaporated and condensed milk production totaled $11.1B in 2024 estimated in export price. The total output value increased at an average annual rate of +1.1% from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained relatively stable, with somewhat noticeable fluctuations throughout the analyzed period. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2014 when the production volume increased by 17% against the previous year. As a result, production reached the peak level of $11.5B. From 2015 to 2024, production growth failed to regain momentum.
Production By Country
The countries with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were Germany (1.2M tons), the Netherlands (906K tons) and France (460K tons), together comprising 61% of total production. Belgium, Ireland, Poland and Spain lagged somewhat behind, together comprising a further 24%.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Ireland (with a CAGR of +12.4%), while production for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Production By Type
The products with the highest volumes of production in 2024 were evaporated and condensed milk (2.1M tons) and powdered milk (2.1M tons).
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for powdered milk (with a CAGR of +2.1%).
In value terms, the largest types of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk in terms of market size were powdered milk ($7.4B) and evaporated and condensed milk ($3.7B).
In terms of the main produced products, powdered milk, with a CAGR of +1.5%, saw the highest growth rate of market size over the period under review.
Imports
European Union’s Imports of Powdered, Evaporated And Condensed Milk
In 2024, after four years of growth, there was significant decline in purchases abroad of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk, when their volume decreased by -10.9% to 1.7M tons. The total import volume increased at an average annual rate of +1.3% over the period from 2013 to 2024; the trend pattern remained consistent, with only minor fluctuations in certain years. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2018 when imports increased by 14% against the previous year. The volume of import peaked at 1.9M tons in 2023, and then shrank in the following year.
In value terms, powdered, evaporated and condensed milk imports contracted to $4.1B in 2024. Total imports indicated a slight increase from 2013 to 2024: its value increased at an average annual rate of +1.0% over the last eleven-year period. The trend pattern, however, indicated some noticeable fluctuations being recorded throughout the analyzed period. Based on 2024 figures, imports decreased by -19.0% against 2022 indices. The pace of growth appeared the most rapid in 2022 when imports increased by 30% against the previous year. As a result, imports reached the peak of $5.1B. From 2023 to 2024, the growth of imports remained at a somewhat lower figure.
Imports By Country
In 2024, the Netherlands (352K tons), followed by Belgium (233K tons), Germany (222K tons), Greece (197K tons), Poland (129K tons), Italy (124K tons), France (113K tons) and Spain (99K tons) were the major importers of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk, together comprising 85% of total imports.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the leading importing countries, was attained by Greece (with a CAGR of +5.3%), while imports for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest powdered, evaporated and condensed milk importing markets in the European Union were the Netherlands ($709M), Belgium ($601M) and Germany ($598M), with a combined 46% share of total imports. Italy, France, Poland, Spain and Greece lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 39%.
In terms of the main importing countries, Poland, with a CAGR of +4.0%, saw the highest rates of growth with regard to the value of imports, over the period under review, while purchases for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Imports By Type
In 2024, powdered milk (902K tons), followed by evaporated and condensed milk (828K tons) represented the main types of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk, together making up 100% of total imports.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of purchases, amongst the key imported products, was attained by powdered milk (with a CAGR of +1.5%).
In value terms, powdered milk ($2.9B) constitutes the largest type of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk imported in the European Union, comprising 70% of total imports. The second position in the ranking was taken by evaporated and condensed milk ($1.3B), with a 30% share of total imports.
For powdered milk, imports remained relatively stable over the period from 2013-2024.
Import Prices By Type
In 2024, the import price in the European Union amounted to $2,395 per ton, reducing by -1.7% against the previous year. Overall, the import price recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 an increase of 20% against the previous year. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $2,657 per ton. From 2023 to 2024, the import prices failed to regain momentum.
Prices varied noticeably by the product type; the product with the highest price was powdered milk ($3,201 per ton), while the price for evaporated and condensed milk amounted to $1,516 per ton.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by evaporated and condensed milk (+0.7%).
Import Prices By Country
The import price in the European Union stood at $2,395 per ton in 2024, which is down by -1.7% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the import price showed a relatively flat trend pattern. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when the import price increased by 20%. As a result, import price attained the peak level of $2,657 per ton. From 2023 to 2024, the import prices failed to regain momentum.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major importing countries. In 2024, amid the top importers, the country with the highest price was Italy ($3,083 per ton), while Greece ($1,464 per ton) was amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands (+1.3%), while the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports
European Union’s Exports of Powdered, Evaporated And Condensed Milk
Powdered, evaporated and condensed milk exports shrank to 2.7M tons in 2024, falling by -13.3% compared with the year before. Over the period under review, exports, however, recorded a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2014 with an increase of 15% against the previous year. Over the period under review, the exports reached the peak figure at 3.1M tons in 2023, and then reduced in the following year.
In value terms, powdered, evaporated and condensed milk exports fell to $7.6B in 2024. Overall, exports continue to indicate a relatively flat trend pattern. The pace of growth was the most pronounced in 2017 when exports increased by 22%. The level of export peaked at $9.4B in 2022; however, from 2023 to 2024, the exports stood at a somewhat lower figure.
Exports By Country
The shipments of the four major exporters of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk, namely Germany, the Netherlands, France and Belgium, represented more than two-thirds of total export. Ireland (182K tons) took a 6.9% share (based on physical terms) of total exports, which put it in second place, followed by Poland (5.6%). Sweden (90K tons) followed a long way behind the leaders.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for Ireland (with a CAGR of +7.7%), while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
In value terms, the largest powdered, evaporated and condensed milk supplying countries in the European Union were the Netherlands ($1.6B), Germany ($1.5B) and France ($1.1B), together accounting for 56% of total exports. Belgium, Ireland, Poland and Sweden lagged somewhat behind, together accounting for a further 31%.
In terms of the main exporting countries, Ireland, with a CAGR of +5.9%, saw the highest growth rate of the value of exports, over the period under review, while shipments for the other leaders experienced more modest paces of growth.
Exports By Type
Powdered milk represented the major type of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk in the European Union, with the volume of exports amounting to 1.7M tons, which was near 64% of total exports in 2024. It was distantly followed by evaporated and condensed milk (964K tons), comprising a 36% share of total exports.
From 2013 to 2024, the biggest increases were recorded for powdered milk (with a CAGR of +1.2%).
In value terms, powdered milk ($5.8B) remains the largest type of powdered, evaporated and condensed milk supplied in the European Union, comprising 76% of total exports. The second position in the ranking was taken by evaporated and condensed milk ($1.8B), with a 24% share of total exports.
From 2013 to 2024, the average annual growth rate of the value of powdered milk exports was relatively modest.
Export Prices By Type
The export price in the European Union stood at $2,854 per ton in 2024, therefore, remained relatively stable against the previous year. In general, the export price, however, saw a slight slump. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 when the export price increased by 21% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $3,261 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, the export prices failed to regain momentum.
There were significant differences in the average prices amongst the major exported products. In 2024, the product with the highest price was powdered milk ($3,407 per ton), while the average price for exports of evaporated and condensed milk totaled $1,886 per ton.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by evaporated and condensed milk (+0.2%).
Export Prices By Country
The export price in the European Union stood at $2,854 per ton in 2024, remaining constant against the previous year. Over the period under review, the export price, however, showed a slight curtailment. The most prominent rate of growth was recorded in 2022 an increase of 21% against the previous year. The level of export peaked at $3,261 per ton in 2014; however, from 2015 to 2024, the export prices stood at a somewhat lower figure.
Average prices varied somewhat amongst the major exporting countries. In 2024, major exporting countries recorded the following prices: in Ireland ($3,173 per ton) and the Netherlands ($3,006 per ton), while Germany ($2,471 per ton) and France ($2,772 per ton) were amongst the lowest.
From 2013 to 2024, the most notable rate of growth in terms of prices was attained by the Netherlands (-0.5%), while the other leaders experienced a decline in the export price figures.
